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Local TV’s not Dead, it’s Moving to a Gated Community

January 13, 2009 · 1 Comment

…where antennas are torn down, all its stuff is being hacked up into little pieces, rebuilt, re-evaluated, repackaged, re-purposed or thrown away. Oh, Radio and Newspaper live next door.

Much like other bow-tie managed entities, years (decades) of excessive profits have created an industry wide comfort zone where many execs have come and gone, cashing in/out along the way. Of course those days are at an end with Main Stream Media (MSM) companies taking a severe public beating. With hundreds of job cuts at NBC and other companies, Tribune’s bankruptcy, the end of PC Mag’s “-azine” and the constant whine of revenue loss from newspapers, those left rowing the boat are being punished for those who have rowed before.

Perhaps broadcast deserve a little break though; after all they’ve been distracted by micro evolutions within their own space such as time shifting programs, Sony gear versus Panasonic, increased competition from newspapers, retransmission battles with cable, syndication issues, revenue swings from politics, etc. Then again, if you’re driving on the highway and distracted by a swarm of wasps inside your car, you’re still responsible for knowing that up ahead the bridge is out.

So as many philosophize the death of television, I wonder about a shift of massive proportions affecting multiple industries including radio, television and print collectively. Technology isn’t just killing television, it’s changing the way we communicate leaving the entire Main Stream Media up for grabs.

TV: The bigger picture shows no breaks for media content providers

So, yes traditional television will die in its current packaging only to be reborn in other forms. Early versions hint that content may be split up by numerous new media providers like www.Hulu.com, Revision3 and others, but even as network parents try to maintain control and contain content Hulu struggles as “traditional media” repackaged in a shiny “new media” graphics. A blog, shortened commercial breaks and a widget don’t constitute a new business model. Regardless, it seems that technology from Boxee will continue the assault on media content providers by reconnecting users to content and thereby threatening to make brands irrelevant. Much like the way Google has made information brands (Webster, Wikipedia, etc.) irrelevant to the masses. After all, who cares / remembers the brand when relevant information from all brands it presented to you equally and immediately via search?

RADIO: Say NO to internet radio and yes to podcasting.

Due to its ease of use and the lack of public adoption of satellite & WIFI in vehicles and in the workplace (WIFI would deliver internet radio) it seems radio will outlive both traditional TV and newspapers. It also occurred to me that radio has the best advantage for “doubling down” on both their current analog business model and creating new online revenue streams. While TV & Print may have more money / audience behind them, staffs at radio stations are more nimble with less capital invested in equipment like printing presses and satellite trucks. Radio companies with diversified portfolios also have the attention of the tech savvy youth and vast audiences of local, high school & college sports within reach and ready to be converted to the next stats heavy online community. The real opportunity, however, is in the podcast race. With a clear advantage, as an industry, radio stations could surely take their fondness for formatting to an even deeper “niche” level and cash in big. NPR and others would have an even bigger advantage if they were to launch a massive information assault on the current community of podcasters and audio book creators.

NEWSPAPER: Don’t Go Changin’?
Of the MSMs there may be good reason for newspaper to not evolve. In fact there’s a very real possibility that some newspapers may find themselves rebuilding traditional staffs in the not so distant future! With the tension mounting by the Kindle and iPhone ebook apps, the newspaper industry finding a new home in the digital world on mobile devices in e-zine form. What would truly be mind blowing is if the newspaper industry could create its own tech revolution in “digital paper.”

So what’s the point? The point is that all of this is transitional and that the better able you are to adapt the more likely you are to survive. Survival will not come from your next show, tonight’s ratings or this weekend’s paper sales but from investing in new products, technology and actually listening to customers because the comfort zone is lost.

-Richard

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For great media discussions I highly recommend:

Terry Heaton’s PoMo Blog

Lost Remote | Local Media and the Battle for the Web

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TWIM (This Week in Media) Podcast

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Categories: Editorial · Future Media
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Who-lu?

August 8, 2008 · 2 Comments

*ABC has since joined and Hulu is now offering a pre-roll option to allow for a continuous viewing experience. 7-06-09

Today we’re looking at www.Hulu.com, a year old partnership by Fox / NBC to see if they can make money putting their video online. First a review because what’s interesting about Hulu is that until recently I thought it was just another stab at ad supported video. Now, to some degree it seems to be just that, but the following articles are significant because they demonstrate milestones for the inevitable 180 degree turn video content providers are forced to take due to the “anytime” nature of the web. This means that the networks may finally be “getting it” but while that may be good news, the bad news is advertisers are not getting it at all. So here you go, a review, Hulu articles and an answer to the question, “Will Hulu work?”

The good, the bad and the ugly

While I didn’t get crazy analyzing the site to death, I did watch a couple of episodes of USA’s Burn Notice and here are some thoughts. The good, Hulu is a great looking site with a fairly intuitive interface and video quality / streaming are very good. You can skip around without hassle; remember when you had to start over if you messed with the status bar? The bad, I’ve heard rumblings about content moving around and sporadic posting, which I can’t attest to myself, as I am not a frequent user. If this is true, however, it could be the end all be all for the product because without consistency there is no loyalty. The ugly, advertising aren’t “getting it” yet… or to rephrase that “someone’s not explaining it correctly to advertisers.” Yes, you have better recall if you see the same ad a bazillion times, but then people hate you. Hulu has a bad case of this syndrome, it’s not incurable, but it’s a problem nonetheless. I highly recommend last week’s TWIM (This Week in Media) podcast #100 at about the half way point there is a lot of discussion about advertising as content / entertainment.

Article 1 from Terry Heaton’s Pomo blog

Hulu revenue split defined

There’s this gem from an interesting CNET report today on how Hollywood is warming to YouTube.

Hulu may have already hurt YouTube and Google in one significant way, according to one media executive. The portal has helped to establish revenue splits between online video distributors and content owners.

“The days of the 50-50 split between content owners and Web sites are over,” said the executive. “Content owners are not going to take less than 70 percent anymore and some are getting 90 percent. In Hulu’s case, 70 percent goes to the content owner. Hulu takes 20 and the Web sites who have distribution deals get 10 percent.”

These aren’t close to what Google was willing to accept in the past, but the search giant now appears more willing to compromise, said two studio executives.

I think this is part of a bigger trend that we’ll see developing in the next 24 months, as the revenue pendulum swings in favor of publishers. ESPN started the ball rolling by declining to take ads from the ad networks anymore, choosing to do its own ad serving. In so doing, it announced to the world that it and it alone would determine the value of its content.

Article 2 from the Hulu blog:

Introducing Hulu Widgets

July 30th, 2008

Keeping on top of Hulu’s newest and most popular videos just got easier with the release of Hulu’s new Widget Gallery. These widgets — portable pieces of HTML code — allow you to track the videos in your queue, as well as Hulu’s top videos, from your desktop, personal blog or iGoogle page.

The Hulu Player Widget allows you to watch a variety of videos from the widget itself. Embeddable on your desktop, blog and personal home page, you can play videos from your queue or Hulu’s featured, most popular or recently added lists, or you can find other shows, movies or clips on Hulu and other sites using the search bar within the widget. You can read the rest this blog entry here.

So, will it work? Yes… ish (Richard)

If the networks continue to innovate. The Hulu Widget Gallery is a great at this and if it the creativity continues Hulu will be a huge success. Unfortunately, innovation takes time to payoff and networks are not known for patients… especially nowadays. Worst case scenario, if Hulu is around long enough to survive the melding of desktop and entertainment center, it could be the 1st brand viewers recognize as web content worth watching in the living room. Now that being said, I don’t think the general public will use a keyboard and mouse in their living room even though there’s a new HP docking system for laptops that could circumvent Apple TV and make “computer as stereo receiver” viewing a reality for early adopters… click here to view the Cynopsis Digital article on the video out laptop dock. Also mentioned in this Cynopsis: Hulu’s new HD gallery. Now, all that being said I have to interject that I only believe Hulu has a chance in h*ll because it’s already hosting extremely popular content that is a proven draw and paid for. While networks may be able to use this platform to make a buck, this is not the platform for new content, podcasts, etc.

Want even more?? This link will take you to an article on TheWebTVWire.com discussing the first study on Hulu entitledHow Is Hulu Faring? | New Study Shows Low Take Up, But High Satisfaction Rating “ and by the way, there’s a statement that most people don’t even know about the site which is just ridiculous considering there’s been virtually no promotion whatsoever… putting content on the web is not a substitute for advertising.Bookmark and Share

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-Richard

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Categories: Editorial
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